Wednesday, October 10, 2007

Who'll win the high-stakes war?

Talks are rife that Malacanang is really campaigning for the ouster of JDV. Despite very public pronouncements from both sides that they love each other, privately, they hate each other's guts. Quite simply, this struggle between cliques inside the ruling administration party reflects the "nervousness" of the party since 2010 is just around the corner. The absence of any worthy presidentiable among their ranks are beginning to worry party leaders. A news report says Lakas has been conducting a search for a party standard-bearer, and talks are again rife that most of Lakas solons have'nt really found somebody yet worthy of fielding against the De Castros, the Lacsons, the Roxases and Villars of other parties. The prospect of defeat looms in the horizon.

The possibility of Lakas again being marginalized and out of power in a post-Arroyo regime looms large, as the party is still struggling hard to maintain its current stature. Raids conducted by Kampi, the president's own party, caused a dent in the Lakas organizational structure. Though results from the elections seemed to indicate that Lakas managed to pull a fast one from Kampi, nonetheless, threats still remain, ironically coming from their allies instead of their perceived traditional enemies.

Most of these reports about the "impeachment" complaint filed by a nondescript lawyer and the current "war" between JDV and GMA shows a classic war between trapos. Obviously, both sides know that they are headed towards a confrontation. JDV is using this impeachment complaint as his ace against the president while the president used a traitor in the person of Pulido to oust the speaker in another route. Caught in middle are their respective allies. Right now, its a numbers game. Both cliques are counting on their political mass bases for survival.

The question is---why is Malacanang moving against JDV? Is it because of the ZTE?

No. ZTE is just a peripheral issue here. The revelation of Joey is a small matter.

The main contention here is the prime ministership. The plan is to initiate a constitutional change from a presidential to parliamentary before 2010 and both Arroyo and De Venecia want the post. This is the prime driver causing a wedge between both cliques.

On the ground, proxy wars are being initiated by both camps. There's an appearance that JDV and GMA are still allie but in reality, they are just preparing for war. With this situation, both the executive and the lower house have been rendered ineffective and debilitated. Ravenous parties lusting for wealth and power are exploiting this issue to court favours from both parties. What we now have is a serious intra-elite struggle that needs something to get full-blown. The law of nature dictates that for every flow, there should be an outlet to release the energy. This needs an outlet. And their pawns and generals should create one and fast.

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