Reason why Kenney is involved in the GRP-MILF peace talks  

Posted by PatricioMangubat in , , , , ,

Peace panel member former general Rod Garcia yesterday belied lingering doubts on the real intention of government behind the Memorandum of Agreement (MOA). He says government does’nt have any intention of opening the cha-cha door thru the MOA. They consulted Constitutionalists Fr. Bernas and Sedfrey Candelaria and at no point did they view the MOA as violative of the charter. Yes, they may be some constitutional changes, but this does not involve a suggestion or a proposal for Gloria to extend her term beyond 2010.

Ding Deles, former peace adviser hit the government for going to the peace table with “unclean hands”. She says government can’t deliver its promises because the MOA will go thru many constitutional processes before it can be effected and it might hit many snags.

What Deles is actually saying is that this government and any other administration after it, cannot really enter into any agreement with the MILF because it really cannot deliver what the Bangsamoro is aspiring for. Because if this administration will not deliver, then, what’s the chance that the next one will?


Besides, other than giving the Bangsamoro their own independent republic, what more can the Philippine government under any administration can give within the bounds of the Constitution? What is more constitutionally acceptable that giving the Bangsamoro a state of their own under a federalist setup? That's the most appropriate answer to the Bangsamoro Question without risking more lives lost due to war.

What Deles and the rest of the oppositors don’t realize is this–if this deal doesn’t push thru, we all risk a further escalation of this problem, even leading to a very serious regional security problem in the years to come. Why?

First, should the MILF don’t deliver its mandate before its Bangsamoro constituency, it risk losing credibility and support. When it loses credibility, young and old fighters would turn into another direction, one of them is extremism, as offered by the Jemaah Islamiyah. This regional terror group has been operating in Mindanao since 2000, and if the MILF loses its mass base, these fighters will resort to other more extreme means of getting what they want. This is what happened to the MNLF. When it capitulated in 1996, extremist groups such as the Abu Sayyaf Group (ASG) gained strength and became such a huge force it is still being neutralized as of this moment.

Are we prepared to see other ASG-like guerilla groups wrecking havoc not only in Mindanao, but in other parts of the country? Are we really ready to see Mindanao turn into a war magnet with other regional terror groups making it a modern battlefield? Are we ready to see Bangsamoro mujaheddins going to other parts of the country, detonating bombs and creating havoc to our cities?

Don't tell me that the AFP can neutralize them anyway. That's another baloney. The AFP has been giving precious personnel and military hardware since this problem started and still the military has'nt been able to even scratch the tough Bangsamoro armor. It's easy to talk about war from the comforts of our armchairs. But, to really be involved in war is another thing.

This is the reason why US Ambassador Kristie Kenney was there all throughout the peace talks, to make doubly sure that the GRP and the MILF really come to terms with each other. Defense secretary Gilbert Teodoro in his interview over at Private Conversations on ANC says that the real interest of the US in those talks is to ensure regional security. Why?

If the Mindanao conflict spills over the rest of the region, it threatens the US mainland. A radicalization of young Moro fighters in Mindanao poses a very serious risk in the security of America. Remember that past World Trade bombers trained and even used the Mindanao corridor as a springboard towards the US. The possibility of Mindanao becoming a regional hub of terrorism is very high if these peace initiatives fail.

So, my fellow Filipinos, I know we hate Gloria so much. We don’t want her to extend her term beyond 2010. If we really think hard about this, a term extension is simply a totally different matter altogether. It is really not connected with this MOA or the Mindanao peace talks. For once, try to think beyond our interest and consider the implications of this issue in the regional fight against terror.

This entry was posted on Sunday, August 10, 2008 at Sunday, August 10, 2008 and is filed under , , , , , . You can follow any responses to this entry through the comments feed .

3 comments

Anonymous  

I think u got some of it wrong and some right. Ur wrong coz Kenney is involved because Anglo-American interests in the region goes beyond just plain security for the US or whatever. The US is here to foster an Israel-Palestinian type of situation, very mush aligned to its divide and rule tactics to serve its imperialistic interests in Asia and its quest for resources, thus throwing support behind the MILF, which will later feel indebt to Uncle Sam for helping it gain territory. that's why the AFP is on a leash as announced by Esperon. Ur right in the sense that its not Cha-Cha that Gloria is aiming for. She's rushing the pact to please Uncle Sam or she's out of job, either thru a coup or a bullet. For reference, look for columns of Alejandro Lichauco & Herman Laurel in the Daily Tribune, Aug. 11, 2008

August 11, 2008 10:35 AM

Yes. You are totally right. Well, I don't discount the fact that, beyond security, the US is interested in Mindanao's vast oil and mineral resources. Many analysts already wrote about it and I don't want to repeat it here.

Regarding the coup...well, we have been writing about it in previous posts. A coup is really possible given the situation but, let me reiterate that there are two groups out there who'll probably launch it. More on this in the new entry.

August 11, 2008 11:17 PM

Likewise, I don't want to use the "imperialist" model thing though I believe in it. It's just that people might not be able to fully understand it at this point or they might ascribe my writing and put some political colors into it, defeating the very purpose of NPR.

August 11, 2008 11:18 PM

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