Why do I believe that Senator Benigno Noynoy Aquino will clinch this year's presidential post? First, every one who has experienced a national campaign will definitely tell you that funders and election groups consider the year-end surveys as barometers of the people's pulse. A 40 plus percent rating is insurmountable. Even if the next survey leader manages to get at least 39% (which is impossible), the survey leader will still win.
Former president Joseph Estrada, at the height of his popularity, only managed to get a 38-41% trust rating. As we all know, Estrada got the highest number of votes ever by a presidential contender.
Since funders always rely on scientific surveys, expect a deluge of financiers and funders to the Liberal party.
Second, I believe that there are only two contenders that will seriously challenge Noynoy Aquino and the Liberals in the end game: Manny Villar and Gilbert "Gibo" Teodoro, three if Joseph Estrada continues his campaign (there are talks that Erap will back out in the middle of March or April). Villar is Noynoy's serious opponent. Barring any controversy, Noynoy will squeak a win out of Villar. Villar's machinery will sputter in the end.
Now, since I expect the outbreak of political violence in this elections, Noynoy Aquino will still win in the end if he leads the people's movement against electoral fraud.
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