July 18 quake prediction a political gimmick

(This is a picture of the devastation caused by an 8 magnitude earthquake in San Francisco California in 1906

Why the 8 magnitude earthquake prediction in RP is a fake? And why do people believe it?

First, the author of the email has impeccable timing. It was sent right after a 7.2 magnitude quake in Japan which killed 13 people. Previous to this, a 7.9 magnitude quake killed thousands in China and rendered thousands more homeless.

Here, we are experiencing between 4 to 5.3 magnitude quakes, almost everyday since last week. Being proximate to both China and Japan, people would definitely make a connexion. If a quake hit our neighbours, the possibility of being hit ourselves by a similarly strong or stronger earthquake is there, since we’re also one of those countries located in the Pacific ring of fire.

This fatalistic thinking is being compounded by our recent experience with Typhoon Frank, which left thousands of people dead and rendered thousands more homeless. Scenes of devastation of the China and Japan quake plus the Typhoon Frank disaster still resonate in our minds. And of course, we’re experiencing weekly personal financial tremors what with rising oil and food process. Millions of people are feeling panicky and uncertain about the future. Many people are feeling insecure. Those deathly scenes on primetime news are not helping people cope with both natural and man-made disasters.

Obviously, the prediction is a fake (see http://pinoyobserver.wordpress.com). It’s an invention. But why choose an earthquake as an event to happen in this date, July 18?

Obviously, the authors of this email chose that date because it’s similar with the date of the 8 magnitude quake which rocked San Francisco California way back in 1906—April 18. Of course, they adjusted it to July 18 so that its more recent and we’ll feel threatened and vulnerable.

The purpose of this fakery? Well, its quite nasty and a little criminal. Obviously, they want to add fuel to the confusion and feeling of insecurity of Filipinos. They are feeding the fear of people. But why? Why do this?

July 18 happens to be ten (10) days before the State of the Nation address of Philippine president Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo. By creating a scenario of fear, people will approach this SONA with utter trepidation and uncertainty. Nonetheless, it can work in both ways.

A fearful nation come July 28 could be exploited by Gloria to introduce self-serving suggestions such as the Noah's Ark proposal or a cha-cha? Surely, no one would question this since it could be perceived as a bitter pill to swallow. People would even, probably praise Gloria for rising up to the occasion.

Or, it could be that the people are so heated up at that time that they support a revolt leading to the eventual ouster of Gloria from Malacanang. Whatever the motivation is--whether political or otherwise--it smacks of a malicious intent. It's malicious and dangerous, to say the least.

Bogus Prediction of RP Quake Exposed!

There’s an email spreading like wildfire in the blogosphere about a prediction made by a certain Brazilian professor, identified by the Philippine Daily Inquirer as Prof. Juseleeno Nobulega DaRoose.

DaRoose was said to have predicted a big earthquake to hit the Philippines this 18 July 2008. The earthquake is said to be in the vicinity of an intensity 8 in the Richter scale.

I checked this character up in the internet and found his real name to be Jucelino Nobrega da Luz. You can check his website at www.jucelinodaluz.com.br.

He’s described as (as translated by me from Portuguese) as a 45-year old Brazilian professor living in Floriano in the Municipality of Maringa, State of Parana. He’s allegedly a psychic. He spends his time writing letters to persons he sees in his dreams. He writes his dreams which allegedly happens eventually. He writes these dreams and sends it to people who allegedly “ can modify determined situations, while receiving these advance informations.”

He’s also been described on-line as a New Generation Nostradamus.

I’ve checked his site, hoping to see anything said about the Philippines this month and found none. There’s actually a reference to the Philippines last month (June 2008) but nothing this month. What the entry says in Portuguese is this:

Grandes enchentes na China provocadas por um furacão e já são milhares de mortes e começa atingir Bangladesh e Filipinas “ which roughly translates into this:

“ Great floods in China due to a hurricane which will lead to thousands of people being killed and it begins to reach Bangladesh and the Philippines.

I don’t know about Bangladesh, but, yes, this prediction came true in the Philippines and in China. Hurricanes and typhoons belong to the same category, so I guess this came true. I don’t know about Bangladesh though.

There’s no reference to a big earthquake to hit the Philippines in his site. I have translated his predictions this month and here it is.

➢ There will be many agrarian-based unrest in the Southern part of Brazil which will lead to violence (not happening now)
➢ Many people will be killed by strong typhoons in Japan (not happening now)
➢ Many people will be rendered homeless due to a strong cyclone to hit Australia
➢ A 6.9 earthquake will hit Chile and Brazilians in Sao Paolo will feel the tremors.
➢ Great floods will inundate France, Germany and Moldavia, leaving thousands of people homeless and a great many will die.
➢ Terrorist conflicts in Turkey due to dissident activity in the border with Iraq.
➢ 100 people will die from a bomb blast in Northern Iraq.
➢ Many people will die due to conflicts in Algeria, possibly to happen due to an aftermath of a 7.1 intensity quake
➢ Japan’s economy will get better with an economic growth of 4.2%
➢ A small 3.1 intensity earthquake will hit the Amazon.

There’s a reference to the Philippines in his February entry which predicted great floods to affect the Philippines, China and Indonesia leading to many deaths and injuries. With the exception of China and Indonesia, this did not happen in the Philippines.

I checked all his previous entries (from January to June) and I found that most of his predictions are about earthquakes, terrorist activity, great floods, hurricanes, typhoons, sickness and cyclones. Most of his predictions did not happen. I say his success rate is just about 30%. So these predictions are more of a hit and miss, instead of accurate predictions.

I am writing some of his other predictions, especially next month and in September 2008.

August 2008

➢ Small earth tremors to measure 4.2 will be observed in the sub-aquatic slit from Africa to Brazil
➢ An intensity 5.3 earthquake to hit Jerusalem, the capital of Israel.
➢ Thousands expected to die due to an intensity 7.8 earthquake in Peru. The devastation will render thousands homeless.
➢ Yellow fever epidemic predicted in the Federal state of Brazil
➢ Another typhoon to hit Japan, injuring or killing thousands and rendering thousands homeless.
➢ A strong typhoon to hit China, worsening the situation there of the homeless. Floods will affect many.
➢ A terrorist attack will hit Lebanon which will kill 63 people.
➢ El Nino will affect Southern Brazil. Earthquakes will lead to flash floods.
➢ An 8.2 earthquake will kill thousands in Caximira-Paquistao in Brazil.

September 2008

➢ A plane will crash in Southwest of Jakarta Indonesia killing 60 people.
➢ A strong earthquake in China will kill millions of people. If this will not happen in China, it will happen in the Tokai region in Japan.
➢ A train accident in India will leave hundreds of people dead.
➢ China will successfully host the Beijing Olympics.
➢ A 6.4 magnitude earthquake will hit Sumatra, Indonesia