GMA destabilizing herself

Who ordered the massacre of Marines in Basilan? If the article of Ellen Tordesillas is to be believed, it was the officers of the Marines themselves and the bungling decision-making of then interim defense secretary Gonzales and other officials, including, tadah! Dolorfino. Dolorfino now heads the Marines. While Gonzales is poised to become the Executive Secretary.

FVR calls on the opposition not to unearth the Garci scandal. Why? Because the probe is proving to be a much deeper inquiry into the scandal. Reports say, they already know who ordered the wiretapping of government officials and tadah again, its Ermita. We know Ermita to be a Ramos loyalist, so who's the hair-brained mastermind of all of these? You guessed right, its FVR.

Coffee shops are abuzz with talks about God Save The Queen part 3. Sectors say its Ebdane who's doing the rounds. Ebdane enjoyed the trust of FVR. And like what I wrote in my other blog http://redbluethoughts.today.com, GMA was doomed from the start when she hired Ebdane as Defense secretary and Esperon as Chief of Staff. These two officers have one thing in common--they owe FVR a lot more than they owe GMA. So, who'll benefit from all of these? Obviously, your guess is as good as mine.

So, why would Ermita ordered such a wire-tapping? Because, tongues wag, the Tabako group obviously does not like GMA to win in the first place. The Group has a bigger chance of success in an FPJ administration, rather than a GMA. And second, GMA at that time, is slowly amassing much more power and influence than FVR. And the self-confessed savior of Philippine democracy does not like that.

Some say, GMA is deliberately destabilizing herself. Why? Because doing so gives her more power. By putting the entire nation under suspended destabilization, she avoids being a lame duck president. Look at what's happening.

a. Media is reporting more crimes, creating the scenario that the Philippines has a serious peace and order problem. This has been compounded by the war in Mindanao.

b. GMA and her minions tried to use even the weather to justify the use of emergency powers. When the rains failed to come on time, GMA said that there's a looming water crisis which needs emergency powers. Such pleadings show that GMA wants more powers because she knows she's losing some.

c. GMA is playing with presidentiables so that they're be perpetually under "wanderlust" and avoid participating in destab moves. Surely, these people and I would identify all of them, De Castro, Escudero, Lacson, Villar and Legarda would refrain their people from participating in such an exercise because it might ruin their chances in 2010. That's why none of them deserve to be president for the simple reason that they already exposed their trapo hides these early.

d. Lastly, GMA is exposing the dirty linen of her officials to create a scenario of total graft in her administration, which, again, would be used to justify extra powers. I bet my Singdollars that they'll come a time when GMA would announce a "clean-up" of the Cabinet and a renewed anti-graft campaign. Such a campaign would need more powers, which, under the circumstances, justifies Congress to grant her that.

The real crux of the matter is this: people are in the state of calm, ease and comfort because they are thinking that why remove her right now when it'll just be 3 more excruciating years left? We suffered for six years. What's 3 more years?

Net of discussion, the state of the nation remains just like 2000, the times smell, look and feel like it. And when such a situation exists, expect another explosion of the EDSA 2 magnitude.

This, however, will be totally different, some sectors say.

These things are happening because GMA needs justification for a reimposition of martial rule. Yes, GMA wants to rule beyond 2010. She's setting her sights on 2020. GMA and her gang have a plan.

First, from 2001 up to 2010, they want to solve the insurgency problem. That's why GMA ordered the AFP to destroy the Mindanao and Communist insurgency within 3 years. After these have been accomplished, GMA wants to further strengthen the economy until 2020. That's the strategic plan of this administration.

On the surface, this is good. That's the way to go really. However, its good if other people would implement such a plan, not GMA's group. First, the plan to destroy the insurgency would definitely not work. For it to work, it needs a credible government, which, obviously, we don't have at the moment. Do you expect the Moros and the Communists to deal with Arroyo when she's destroying them? Obviously not. So, the nation needs a new administration to undertake such peace negotiations to work.

That's why there's God Save The Queen part 3. Its an attempt by forces within the government to isolate GMA and oust her from power. She has become a liability to the strategic plan and needs immediate replacement. To make this a reality, GMA must be seen as destabilizing herself. And that's what's happening at this moment.

So there are two competing forces for power today: one the inner sanctum of GMA administration and other forces with ideological persuasions. Again, this shows the scenario way back in 2000, when the revolution so to speak was being cooked by two forces. Analyzing the situation, it is more likely that FVR's group will win this battle because it has the resources, the influence and the right connexions to do it. The other motley crew, well, they really don't have any force except having the right ideological viewpoint. I am optimistic that, should FVR's group wins, they might do the right thing--share power with the other group.