Read the Inquirer editorial today. It says much about the current situation--how lucky Arroyo is as a president. Scandals after scandals rocked this administration, yet, Arroyo remains in power. It exposes the weakness of these movements against her. Why are they essentially weak?
First, no support or less support coming from traditional political parties. These trapos, especially those gunning for the presidency in 2010, are busy beautifying themselves before the eyes of the public, concerned more with their approval ratings than anything. They don't believe Arroyo will ever be ousted from power and they believe her statements that she'll not resign.
Second, no military intervention seems to be in sight. There are rumours of dissent among the ranks but these remain just that, rumours. Effective pyswar operations have been launched to insulate the military from the political imbroglio. From all indications, it's effective.
Third, this administration seems very methodological in its approach of the crisis. It employs both tactical and strategic problem-solving methods that seem to work every time. Kudos to the palace henchmen who remains solid amidst the public outcry for their principal's head.
Lastly, there seems to be a dearth of funds in support of these mobilizations. Rally organizers for the March 14 says that the reason why they transfered the rally site from Ayala to Espana was for practicality (read: we lack funds to sustain these rallies) Since the bulk of the protesters come from the Youth sector (as what we prescribed in this blog), it's best to organize the rally in their "turf" so to speak.
From all indications, there seems to be a waning of interest for this rally. From my monitors of the situation, it seems that organizers are somewhat "silent", not telegraphing their moves, which is good, to some extent, yet, could affect the outcomes of the rally somewhat.
This could change with the appearance of a new ZTE witness in the Senate probe today. This witness could be the last trump card prior to the eventual ouster of Arroyo. However, I think the effect of this new witness would only last a few days, not weeks, as what the opposition hopes to achieve. Think of it--it just reinforces the existing public perception of rampant graft and corruption. Its just a reinforcement.
Surveys upon surveys reveal that the public's perception of corruption of this administration has reached fruition. Meaning, the opposition does not need to cry or demand for the truth because the closure of this issue (ZTE deal), to the minds of the people, have now been achieved.
1. The people are now convinced that Arroyo and her men are corrupt
2. They benefitted from this ZTE deal
3. This deal was done as a concession for the eventual transfer of the Spratlys claim to the Chinese.
This is the story that was formed in the minds of the people. Opposition groups does not need to reinforce this further. The People already know the Truth. It is time for these groups to demand for Justice. How will they punish Arroyo? Some sectors propound resignation. Others, resignation of all members of the Arroyo administration. Whatever it is, groups should not be concerned about the form of government that would be established in the event of Arroyo's ouster. Talking about this affects the movement's unity.
As I wrote here, these groups should push decisively for Arroyo's ouster, then, sit down and talk about what form of government will we assume afterwards.
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