God Save the Queen Plot

Former general Danilo Lim urged soldiers not to be swayed by talks of a coup. Essentially, he was saying that there is no revolutionary situation, no need to go out of your barracks to militate against the existing administration. 


True, soldiers' morale may be low, as confirmed by Senator Antonio Trillianes IV, but there are no cause to support an extra-constitutional enterprise. The Administration is not a despotic one, says Lim. 


True, there is no cause for revolt. However, there is now, a revolutionary situation brought about by the confluence of forces both social, political and economic.


On the social front, the peace and order situation is really worsening to a point of despair. And it is not the fault of the PNP leadership, oh no. This is expected since rising costs of goods and the absence of any available alternative provides the sociological fodder for dissent in the form of commission of crimes. 


Political because certain groups who are protecting the former dispensation are moving and are using the Basilan incident as a platform to reach out to soldiers and support their coup.


This plot is similar to God Save the Queen, except that this plan tries to protect the former president from being incarcerated. Remember that this government vowed to file charges against the Arroyo couple this November. 


There is a tenuous relationship between the ringleaders of this plot with that of a more ideological group opposed mainly with the present Aquino administration. This ideological group is motivated by the desire to really pursue genuine change, which, to their mind, the Aquino administration has already abandoned. 


A big event in Metro Manila will happen late this month which would be used to mobilize people from an urban community to support troop movement.


This event will involve an urban community which is being ousted by government from their land somewhere near Trinoma. Violence is expected there because both parties, the government and the urban poor, refuses to bulge. This will spark this so-called extra-constitutional action.


Note: this group is trying to agitate the soldiers for more "numbers". however, it failed several times. Now, they are using this issue, especially the Basilan massacre to reach out. The question really is---are their numbers enough to be mobilized against a clearly prepared state?


Another question--why is this official so impatient? Is he afraid that he'll be seventy plus come 2016, the oldest contender for the top plum? Is he or she aspiring to become another Gloria?

FVR warns of coup plot & failure of elections

Former president Fidel V. Ramos yesterday virtually accused members of PMA Class 1978 of fomenting dissent and creating scenarios for a palace coup d'etat. Ramos made a speech yesterday at the gathering in Antipolo City.

Ramos warned the Arroyo administration and its hawks on going ahead of their plans, because PMA Class 1978 does not have a strong mass support in the Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP). He says, and NPR quotes, " PMA Class 1978 does not command support from the majority of the AFP"

Should they continue ahead of their plans, Ramos said this palace coup will fail. Ramos made the speech before US ambassador Kristie Kenney, who attended the MediaNation event.

Sources at the military says the PMA "Makatarungan" Class is planning to create a destabilizing scenario this September to justify the replacement of current AFP Chief of Staff General Victor Ibrado that will culminate in a palace coup in October of this year.

Yesterday, businessman Joey de Venecia III forewarned about a failure of elections when he said that the poll automation plan of SMARTMATIC-TIM is not fool proof and could result to a failure of elections.

The Last Option

There is a very serious and life-threatening situation for Filipinos now. And I urge everyone who reads this to be very, very vigilant because I am sensing something very sinister that would happen either this month, August or in the coming two months.

I am talking about the worsening Mindanao conflict. This conflict is just part of a bigger scenario to create instability. I am not into this conspiracy crap, but, the way things are going right now point to this direction. 

There is a plan for the immediate ouster of Gloria by way of a coup. Reports point to two groups involved. One is a group within the palace who wants to extend their political life post-Gloria and the other, a more cohesive movement, supported by international players who aim to sacrifice Gloria's administration to preserve the so-called Philippine territory.

Both groups are antithetical to the widespread clamour for meaningful change. Both belong to the rightist side of the political spectrum, although one of them is being supported by cause-minded people in high society as well as civil society. 

It seems that people from both groups want to escalate the violence to a certain degree as to create temporary instability, without much bloodshed and without much impact to the national economy. Indications point to a heightening of tensions prior to August 15 (the date when the Supreme Court hears arguments for and against the MOA) and beyond August 18, 2008. Before the Supreme Court releases a favorable decision on the MOA, either one of these groups will act against this administration. 

A proposed deterrent is for this administration to abandon federalist talk and shift the burden of resolving the Bangsamoro Question to the next administration. Or, this government should also  institute immediate security measures to avert a possible God Save the Queen plan or another Oakwood mutiny.

There are signs that people with sinister plans will foment a revolt or mutiny within the AFP and the PNP. As casualties mount with the on-going military offensive in North Cotabato, that would be the sign that these groups will wait to launch an offensive against Gloria. 

Either way, Gloria is a sure loser in this intra-elite fighting. There's really something behind that cryptic FVR statement that Gloria's term is sure to be continued by another (possibly the SC Chief Justice) and she'll not enjoy immunity.