Inauguration of Noynoy Aquino--inauguration of a New Philippines

At exactly 11:52 today, June 30, 2010, the sixteenth president of the Republic of the Philippines is sworn in. Benigno Simeon Aquino III, son of former Senator Benigno “Ninoy” Aquino and former president Corazon Cojuangco Aquino, was sworn in by Associate Justice Conchita Carpio-Morales, assisted by a Jesuit priest, Fr. Catalino Arevalo, a close family friend of the Aquinos. Arevalo held the bible as Aquino swears himself in before a throng of half a million Filipinos.



The inauguration started early. Despite the occasional drizzle and the threats of rain, the mood was festive and the event started with nary a hitch. A full three hours before the ceremonies at noon, people from all walks of life started arriving in droves. These people from as far as Tarlac left their homes purposely to witness a very historic event.


Aquino left his Times street residence in Quezon City and arrived at the Malacanang palace thirty or so minutes early than the 10:30am schedule. He was met by former president Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo, Vice president Noli de Castro, Executive secretary Leandro Mendoza, Finance secretary Margarito Teves and Justice secretary Alberto Agra. After a few pleasantries and photo shots together, the two then proceeded to the presidential car, an executive limo with plate number 1. The head of the Presidential Security Group (PSG) opened the car door for Arroyo, while Aquino went through the right side of the door.


As they exit the palace grounds, a whole line of people greeted the presidential car as it whizzes by. It took only 5 minutes from the palace to the Quirino grandstand grounds, not enough time perhaps for the two leaders to speak with each other. Days before the inauguration, there were malicious talk that Mrs. Arroyo would plead her case before Aquino, who, a day earlier, already established a truth commission to try members of Mrs. Arroyo’s cabinet for their alleged crimes against the People.


When the car arrived, President-elect Noynoy Aquino exited at the left side of the car while his predecessor, Mrs. Arroyo, exited at the right. They then proceeded to a mini-stage, with Mrs. Arroyo at the center, flanked to her left by Aquino and the head of the Presidential Security Group (PSG) at her right. The ceremonial troops then began the ceremonies which kicked off the formal inauguration ceremonies.


As Arroyo reviews the troops, the large crowd started booing her. The crowd, mostly members of the volunteer groups who helped Aquino during the May 10 elections, began heckling the outgoing president. When Arroyo ended her review, she saluted the PSG commander and then went and rode her black SUV, with her PSG commander riding in front of the vehicle. They then left the parade grounds amidst boos and some cheers from the crowd.


Aquino then went up the stairs and seated himself in front of the stage. Vice president Jejomar Binay then arrived. Binay rode an electric jeepney from Manila hotel. He joined Aquino on the stage.


Flanking Aquino to his right is former president Fidel Ramos, while to his left, Vice President Jejomar Binay. Two former heads of state graced the event, Ramos and President Joseph Estrada. Vice president Noli de Castro joined them, possibly the representative of the outgoing administration. At his left is Chief Justice Renato Corona, whose midnight appointment was opposed by Aquino. At de Castro’s right side, meanwhile, is Associate Justice Conchita Carpio-Morales, sister of Associate Justice Antonio Carpio, who was Aquino’s choice for the Chief Justice post.


Throughout the ceremonies, former presidents Ramos and Estrada did not see eye to eye, neither did they speak to each other. Estrada talked with Associate Justice Morales, never to Ramos.


Meanwhile, Vice president Binay talked animatedly with Aquino, whom he met several days prior to the inauguration. It was evident that there was no tension between the two. It was unclear what they talked about. Elenita Binay, the vice president’s legal wife, is seated beside her husband.


At their back, the Aquino sisters were seated. Several close family relatives, diplomats and senators were also seated, including Senate president Juan Ponce-Enrile, Senators Teofisto Guingona III, Tito Sotto III and Gregorio Honasan. In that row, former vice president Teofisto Guingona Jr. was also seated. While his erstwhile “girlfriend” Valenzuela councilor Shalani Soledad, is seated at the third row, flanked by a presidential nephew. Soledad was wearing a Mango-colored barong gown. She looks like candy, but no one wanted to try and eat her. Even the Aquino sisters did not talk with her. (Fact is, even when the Aquino family arrived at Malacanang, there was no sign of Shalani. Good decision. She's not a legal wife.) 


Kris Aquino-Yap, the controversial sister of the President, was also seated along with her other sisters. Her husband, basketball star James Yap, was not there. She was with her three year old son, James and his teenager kid, Josh, her son with former action stars Philip Salvador.


Over at far end top of the stage were other members of the Aquino family, friends and political allies. Jose “Peping” Cojuangco, Aquino’s uncle and supporter during the last elections, was seated far from the front row seats, together with his wife, Margarita “Tingting’ Cojuangco. ABS-CBN executives led by Charo Santos-Concio were also seated at the far end corner of the grandstand. Local government officials led by Liberal party supporter and Caloocan mayor Echiverri were also there. Meanwhile, Cojuangco right hand man, and former coup plotter and self-proclaimed COPA head, Pastor Boy Saycon was seen seated at the grandstand grounds, along with several other Aquino and Liberal party supporters.


The ceremonies started with Filipina international singer Charice Pempengco singing the national anthem. The rendition was beautiful. Pempengco stuck to the official National Historical Institute (NHI) recommended tune, which was actually martial, true to the original beat and composition of Felipe.


After the singing of the national anthem, three religious leaders were called to lead the national prayer, one Catholic priest, another an Imam from Manila and a Protestant priest. When they finished the prayer, a succession of nationalistic songs was rendered.


Famous compositor Ryan Cayabyab led the Madrigal singers in conducting “Bayan Ko”, a popular Filipino protest song, followed by his own composition. Then, the Apo Hiking Society sang their tribute song. Afterwards, Ogie Alcasid went to the stage with his girlfriend, Regine Velasquez and they both sang Ogie’s campaign song for Aquino. Christian Bautista, a talent of ABS-CBN channel two, sang his popular song “You raised me up” acapella. After this, an entire cast of popular singers led by Gary Valenciano, Alcasid, Noel Cabangon, Bautista, Velazquez, etc. sang the inaugural song, “ Bagong Pilipinas” before an amused Aquino.


Yet, it was still a full 45 minutes before the noon swearing in. Noel Cabangon, a former activist turned folk singer, sang at least three of his songs, one of which made the crowds alive. After the Philippine Philharmonic orchestra finished their rendition of popular Filipino folk songs, the swearing in then proceeded.

Senate president Juan Ponce-enrile read the joint resolution of the 14th Congress declaring Noynoy and Binay as the duly elected president and vice president of the Republic of the Philippines, respectively. Speaker Prospero Nograles Jr. was not present.

Vice president Binay was first called. He went before the crowd with his wife, Elenita. Elenita was the one who held the bible. Binay was sworn in by Carpio-Morales, witnessed by his entire family including his sons-in-law.


The Speech


After his swearing in, new Philippine president Benigno “Noynoy” Aquino III, then went to the podium and gave his inaugural speech.


The speech was at least 21 minutes long and 11 pages. It was a combination of a State of the Nation address and a campaign speech.


Noynoy began his speech with a recollection of the events which catapulted him to the presidency. He started with acknowledging the sacrifices to the nation of his forebears. He talked about how his parents sacrificed their lives for the people, and of how his parents raised him to be a responsible citizen.


He then told the people of how, like them, he suffered under the tyranny of those who were given the people’s trust yet acted like rulers of the people. Noynoy even told them of how he suffered during traffic jams, of meeting people who acted like they were petty kings and queens and used their positions to gain leverage over other people.


What is most beautiful about the speech is the acknowledgment of the present condition of the people—that most Filipinos suffered from inept, even unjust governance. It is time, therefore, for the government to regain the trust and confidence of the people. How will he do it? Noynoy says he will represent the People, and will do his best to cleanse the bureaucracy of graft and corruption. He will be the foremost example of a true and honest Filipino citizen.


Noynoy talked about his desire to realize his campaign slogan of there is no poor people if there is no corruption. For the new president, this is not an empty campaign slogan but a realizable and doable platform for governance.


He then talked about how to prioritize poverty reduction by leveling the playing field in the investment sector, effecting efficient tax collection and ridding corruption in the customs department. Noynoy vowed to speed up modernization in the countrysides by eliminating middle men in the agricultural sector. He asked incoming Agriculture secretary Alcala to form trading centers in the provinces so that farmers will now be able to directly transact with consumers. This, he hopes, would lower the prices of goods. He also vowed to create agri infrastructures to enable farmers to increase their yields and market access.


He will continue infrastructure development, yet, vowed to prosecute contractors who build defective and low quality roads and infrastructure.


Aquino also vowed to improve the education system, by emphasizing on skills-based courses for Filipinos who cannot afford to study a college course. He will revive the jobs generation program of his mother so that Filipinos will be able to get jobs here, instead of getting those jobs abroad. He also intimated his desire to modernize the Armed Forces of the Philippines and the Philippine National Police and restore their dignity as institutions.


For those who want to reconcile their political differences with him, Aquino vowed to forgive them. Fact is, he says, he already forgotten their sins. Yet, he cannot assure that these people, especially those who tyrannized the citizenry for so long would enjoy the same “privilege”.


Noynoy says that for reconciliation to really happen, justice should first be rendered. He informed the public that he already formed a truth commission headed by former Chief Justice Hilario Davide. Davide’s task is to try erring government officials who served under the Arroyo administration accused of committing numerous crimes against the people. He also directed incoming Justice Secretary Leila de Lima to start the filing of charges against corrupt government officials.


He vowed that his administration will be transparent and will hold itself up accountable before the people. He will also be extremely fair with the enemies of the state by entering into dialogues and peace negotiations with them. Aquino specifically talked about the Bangsamoro problem which he vows to solve by consultation with different stakeholders. As for the Communist insurgency, Aquino vows to render social justice to eliminate the root causes of revolt.


What are note-worthy about his speech are his thoughts on transforming government, from an inept and tyrannical one to a participative government, one that hears and opens itself up for criticisms and observations. Aquino vows to affect a feedback mechanism, a communication system , whereby government will be able to adjust its policies based on the people’s perceptions and views. This is the first time that government will try to effect a participative or a responsive system, a system which relies on a mass-based feedback mechanism.


However, Aquino failed to say anything about land reform, the reproductive health policy nor his gender program. This, says Prof. Claudio of the UP Women’s Center, is most worrisome because it reflects how the incoming administration treats these issues as “non-issues”.


The core message of the speech though is simple---for change to occur, the people must take part in the process for nation-building. For at least five times, Noynoy Aquino reiterated his desire for the people to take part in this extremely difficult process of change. This shows you the character of the incoming administration—it is not just a responsive but a participative one.


As a show of support, members of civil society led by St. Scholastica head Sister Mary Grace Mananzan led other sectoral leaders in their public avowals of support for Aquino. It was very symbolic.


After this, Aquino was then asked to descend the stage and meet the ceremonial troops for a review. Amidst large shouts of Noynoy, the new President reviewed the troops. He then saluted the troop commander, signaling the end of the ceremonies. Noynoy then went to the presidential car, but not before looking at his watch. His new PSG commander went with him and seated at the front row of the car. The car, along with at least six (6) PSG vehicles proceeded to the palace.


Along the way, huge throngs of poor folk went on and greeted him. When the entourage reached the palace gates, they were greeted by hundreds of poor people.


The New president then disembarked from the presidential limo and met his PSG team. He then proceeded to the palace rest house. Shortly after about 15 minutes, Aquino then re-emerged. He posed for a ceremonial photo shoot with his family, then went out of the rest house to meet the PSG troops. A ceremonial review was held. Afterwards, Aquino then proceeded to the main Palace where he is expected to conduct his first cabinet meeting.


From the time he left his house to the time he entered the room to meet his cabinet at Malacanang—it’s all over for three hours, at least. The entire inauguration was professionally handled. It was swift, but sweet.


At last, a new age has begun.

Old and New Faces in Aquino administration

Government agencies which enjoyed minimal public approbation and traditionally perceived as corrupt, would now be under the administration of former or previous Cabinet members. I really don't know if this would help pursue what Noynoy promised during the campaign period--that he would rid government of graft and corruption. Consider...

Ramos man Guillermo Parayno, former revenue commissioner who served during Arroyo's time, is being recycled to head the Customs department. Everyone knows how dirty this agency is, and I am very sad that this agency will now be headed by a "player", who comes from BIR, another agency with a very low tolerance to graft and corrupt practices.

Kim Henares, a Parayno bosom buddy, is expected to head the Bureau of Internal Revenue. So, there will be two powerful names in the Aquino administration--Parayno-Henares. How then would we expect these two secretaries to do balance or systems check to each other when they are buddies?

Secretary Ping de Jesus, a former Erap Cabinet member, is being tapped to head the Department of Transportation and Communication.

Cesar Purisima, who also resigned during Arroyo's time, will head the Finance department, the post he left when he joined the Hyatt 10. Expect the same finance policies under Arroyo to be implemented in Aquino's administration.

Former water executive Rogelio Singson will head the Department of Public Works and Highways. How in the hell was Singson appointed or even considered, knowing that he came from a utility company controlled by the Ayalas? (ERRATUM:1. In my previous entry, I said Maynilad is owned by the Lopezes. Wrong. Maynilad is now AYALA-owned. Sorry for the mixup.).

New names were also named by Aquino:

Instead of Dr. Alip, a veteran trapo from Quezon province by the name of Cong. Alcala was named Department of Agriculture secretary.

Leila de Lima, the tough cookie who once headed the Human Rights Commission, is now head of the Justice department. De Lima is the only appointee deserving of the post.

While Bertie Lim of the Makati Business Club (MBC) will head the tourism portfolio. Bertie Lim is the brother of the Probe team head.

It is now being bruited about that Noynoy will personally head the Department of Public Works and Highways (DPWH), a probable compromise with Vice President Jejomar Binay.

Aquino's Cabinet picks

President Noynoy Aquino says his present communication group will replace the Office of the Press Secretary. Ricky Carandang, ANC anchorperson and a highly respected member of the Philippine media is being touted as the head of the communication group so therefore, Carandang is probably our new Press secretary.

Manolo Quezon is also said to be the inaugural spokesperson but it is unknown what post will the historian/blogger/columnist and TV host will get under the Aquino administration. His friends and colleagues over at the Black and White Movement have already been posted in several posts, foremost of which is Atty. Ed Lacierda who now will act as Presidential spokesperson. Leah Navarro, a leading light in the anti-Arroyo movement, is reportedly offered the Presidential Management Staff (PMS) post. Vic "Emong" Emano was Aquino's New Media head and Emong's fate is still unknown.

There are strong indications that the highly creative and effective Maria Montelibano of the Samar group will be appointed as head of the Philippine Information Agency (PIA). This is a promotion for Montelibano who was very effective in handling Aquino's propaganda machinery during the elections. Montelibano used to head Malacanang RTV during the time of Cory and once helped in crafting the Aquino communications plan.

Cesar Purisima, one of Aquino's contributors, is also certain to get the Trade portfolio (or even the Finance?) while Jesse Robredo of the Kaya Natin Movement and a long-time mayor of Naga City (Ramon Magsaysay awardee) will head the DILG, which is really the best pick for the job.

Robredo does not have any presidential ambitions so he will probably devote all of his time developing and enhancing the local government structure. This will be best for the country.

Dingky Soliman, as previously announced, will re-assume her DSWD post, while Teresita Deles, will be the administration's presidential peace adviser, a post which she is really accustomed to. Deles used to be the presidential anti-poverty commissioner under Arroyo.

Romulo is said to be among 4 contenders for the Foreign affairs post. A group composed of Liberal party members led by chairman emeritus Jovito Salonga is said to be campaigning for Hilario Davide, the Chief Justice popular for that very controversial decision legitimizing the administration of Arroyo.

Another critical post, the Department of Tourism has at least five names, including that of Jim Paredes of the APO Hiking Society and Andy Bautista, a highly respected name in the Tourism industry.

Noli de Castro, reports say, has been offered a post in the Aquino administration. He declined and said that he is coming back (with a vengeance) to broadcasting. Kudos to Kabayan!

Outgoing PMS chief Len Bautista-Horn says there are about 50,000 posts that would be left vacant come June 30, 10% of these are executive posts. Aquino and the search committee must be extremely cautious in effecting changes especially in the critical departments. As early as now, there are several reports which I got from highly placed sources saying that there are "long-time" operators angling for several posts in some agencies of government. The search committee must be very very circumspect in reviewing the records of these operators.

Vice president Jojo Binay really prefers the DILG posts for obvious reasons--he wants to institutionalize what he did in Makati. And one of those things he wants is simply institutionalize his reported penchant for condominium units. Rumours say that Binay reportedly ask for several condo units from developers in exchange for permits. How true?

There is a group, some coffee shop habitues say, that is gathering graft cases against Binay.

Barack Obama congratulates Noynoy Aquino

US President Barack Obama and Philippine president-elect Noynoy Aquino just spoke over the phone this morning. Obama congratulated Aquino for being the 15th president of the Republic. He also invited Aquino to a meeting soon at the White House.

Earlier, the Chinese government also extended its warmest congratulations to the son of the country's democracy icons, whose phenomenal and surprising win caught the country by surprise.

Unlike his predecessor Mrs. Arroyo, Aquino did not seek Obama's call. It was the US president himself who called the newly proclaimed President of the Republic, without any prodding from Aquino's camp. This shows how high the US regards the new administration.

The US and the Philippines are long-time allies. Under the Aquino administration, the relationship is expected to continue and probably, be warmer than the previous dispensation.

It remains to be seen, however, how the Philippines will deal with contentious issues with the US, especially the Visiting Forces Agreement or VFA. This deal, which certain quarters have demanded a review, remains a thornish issue between the two nations. Senator Miriam Defensor-Santiago has demanded for a rescission of the deal, following certain incidents of violations committed by the visiting US forces.

Will Aquino call for a review of the country's defense treaties with the US?

In a highly classified paper I read, the Philippines is regarded right now as the most important ally in Southeast Asia by the United States. Apart from its strategic location, the Philippines is also being eyed as the diplomatic ally of the US in the APEC (Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation). APEC is becoming the region's equivalent to the European Union (EU). US trade will be affected should APEC decides to implement a one currency policy in the region and further strengthen its plans of creating a One Asian market.

The Philippines is also a very strategic defense partner of the United States. Both countries have been closely cooperating in the fight against terrorism. US forces based in Mindanao have been seen fighting side by side with their Filipino counterparts in Basilan and Jolo, two islands known for cuddling the Abu Sayyaf Group (ASG). Apart from helping gather intelligence data, the US also supplies Philippine troops with sophisticated weapons and trains them on counter-terrorism. This will, undoubtedly, continue under the Aquino administration.

What is under a cloud of doubt though is how will the Philippines position itself with regards to the Korean question. North Korean just attacked a sub of its compatriots in the South and the US is keenly observing the situation. Former Philippine president Gloria Arroyo just visited the North and renewed ties with Asia's rogue state, and we all know how the previous dispensation has strong ties with China, who is a supporter of North Korea.

Will the Philippines support the US position or remains "neutral" in deference to its other ally, China.

RP-China relations have been warm and accommodating since 2001. Most governmental projects were granted to China, even those involving sensitive industries, like the telecommunications. Now, will the Aquino administration continue these deals, especially those involving the exploitation of our natural resources?

As what the president-elect told the media in his first press conference yesterday, shortly after he is proclaimed as President, Aquino said he will review everything so that the most concrete and accurate solution will be given.

Aquino and the promise of Change: 3 out of 10 Pinoys believe in him

Three out of ten Filipinos expect their lives to improve in the next 12 months. That's based on a survey conducted by the Social Weather Stations (SWS). The survey firm got the responses of a segment of the 50 million registered voters. Translate that to what they call "net optimism score" and you get a very high 26%, the net difference between 35% (those who are optimistic) and 9% (those who are pessimistic). This score is considered "high" considering previous low optimism scores.

Look at this figure and compare that with the segment of the voters who voted for Aquino--it is the same--35% to 40%. That clearly suggests that president-elect Noynoy Aquino's support base are Filipinos who really wanted change and saw the possibility of it being done in him.

The mandate, therefore, of Aquino is very clear---he must sustain the high support, convert this optimism into a potent force for change and eventually work hard to get the approbation of the  remaining segment of the population who clearly does not know if they have to be optimistic or pessimistic about his administration.

The next ninety days of his administration, therefore, is very crucial indeed. People will be closely monitoring his movements, precisely due to initial doubts and fears that the same old faces who were appointed to previous administrations, are again poised to occupy sensitive positions in the new administration.

People's expectations are higher than previous administrations because of Aquino's promise for change. When leaders say they are prepared to change things for the better, the Filipinos view this call as "complete change", meaning, a substantial change.

One of the key policy changes the people expect from Noynoy is his anti-poverty reduction program. He should address this immediately and be foreright about it.

Another one is his appointment of persons in his official family. Preferably, these appointments should be a mixture of old and new, with "new" faces dominating that of the old.

Aquino should limit his promises to a few, possibly three or four, goals that he thinks is doable. He should not do what Arroyo did in her previous pronouncements, promising a "perfumed existence" through her "enchanted kingdom" blah-blah, and instead be forthwith on what his administration can do and cannot do.

One thing should be certain---he must involve the people through their representatives from the civil society, NGO's and POs in policy making and research. He must implement an Executive Order placing representatives of legitimate non-government organizations and people's organizations in the decision-making boards of line agencies and other governmental bodies. He should also tap the academe and involve them in governance, especially in policy-making.

One last thing--Aquino should also solicit the support of Filipinos overseas. Filipino expatriates and those living abroad should be transformed into a potent and leading force for change. They should intensify their participation in the new government. The Filipino Overseas should lead the charge for change.

Fact is, every single Filipino out there who really want change to happen should get involved in this change entreprise. This administration should transform government, from being a private entreprise of a corrupt few, to a participative and engaging government for the majority.

The governmental bureaucracy should be changed, from a bottom heavy one, to a responsive change agent. Streamlining the bureaucracy will do the trick.

New Philippine president to be proclaimed by Wednesday: Roxas loses vote for counting null votes

The joint Congressional Canvassing Committee chaired by Senate president Juan Ponce-Enrile and Speaker Prospero Nograles Jr. have just rendered a decision, denying the motion of the camp of Vice Presidential candidate Mar Roxas for the committee to re-examine the null votes in the last polls. The lawyer of Roxas cited the unusual number of null or "stray" votes, which stands at 3 million, as basis for his motion. Joey Tenafrancia, counsel of Roxas, maintains the position that these stray votes should be examined since allegations of electoral fraud cropped up. There is a possibility that these votes were actually cast in favor of Roxas. 


On the part of the Binay camp, Sandra Coronel correctly pointed out that the motions filed by the Roxas camp are clearly misplaced, since the proper venue for such "allegations" should not be filed before the committee; rather, the proper venue should be the Presidential Electoral Tribunal. Likewise, it is an elementary principle in election law, that straw or null votes are not to be counted. Questions should definitely be addressed before the proper venue, not before the canvassing committee. 


With that, ends, I think, the attempts of the Roxas camp to use the canvassing committee as venue to ventilate their "observations" on the last polls. With their motions denied, the only recourse left is for the party to file their corresponding protest actions before the presidential tribunal. If they plan to do so, then, this will allow the canvassing committee to finally proclaim the winning presidential and vice presidential candidates by Wednesday. 


Now, will we see the last of Mar Roxas? I clearly doubt it. With Noynoy and the Liberals in power, Roxas has the chance to be the country's kingmaker, acting and moving silently above the political waters. 


Roxas has a bright future ahead of him. His loss will not deter him from seeking a higher position six years from now, unlike Senator Loren Legarda, who, I think, should throw in the towel and accept the people's mandate that she will definitely not be president nor vice president even by 2016. 


If we assess the current political situation, Roxas still has three more years to go before the mid-term elections of 2013. 2013 is most crucial for Roxas and Escudero for that matter, and even Binay, who remains as a political darkhorse come 2016.


Fact is, it may even be beneficial for Roxas to lose this elections and win by 2016. Let me state my analysis.


If Roxas concedes the fight tomorrow, he will have at least a year to map out his political future for the next three to six years. One of the things he needs to do is review what went wrong and correct it as soon as possible. 


I think he needs to revamp his campaign team and try to form a team that will truly propel him to electoral victory come 2016. 


This 2010 elections just shows you that there's nothing more important than grassroots organization if winning the polls is concerned. Roxas should concentrate on that.


Fact is, if Roxas intends to win by 2016, he must probably get the DILG portfolio. Roxas should not be given the DTI post again. 


Binay won this elections because of the enormous grassroots organization he successfully established through the years. I do not believe that he cheated. I do not believe that there was electronic Garci that happened in the national level, simply on account that it would entail a humongous logistical operation that will definitely exceed his expenses without a clear result. 


Roxas should also ensure that Escudero loses the 2013 re-election bid, to neutralize him for the presidential polls come 2016. There are only three contenders for the presidency strong enough to clinch a win: Roxas, Binay and Escudero. Villar, it seems, is simply not cut out for the presidency.


He must be very careful in his next steps because that will determine his winnability come 2016. 


Now, on Binay's win...


Clearly, this establishes Binay as the successor of former president Joseph Estrada. His win just shows that he already controls and commands respect over the large organization that Estrada had established throughout his career. With Estrada's eventual retirement from politics, it is now clear that Binay is the "big boss" so to speak. He now stands to replicate the path which Estrada took in 1998.


The only question is---how strong his relations with the Escudero camp is and how significant will his role be in the Aquino administration. 


Estrada was given a pro-active role in the Ramos administration, paving the way for him to build his campaign organization. Even as Vice president, Estrada was given the title "anti-crime czar", which gave him enormous powers and a huge budget.


Now, it is not clear what role Binay will serve under the Aquino administration. Surely, Noynoy will not give him the DILG portfolio, because if he does, then, it shows that he favors Binay over his bosom buddy, Mar Roxas. The DILG portfolio is crucial.


That remains a very serious problem for Binay. He could be put in a freezer and given crumbs. Or he can use his Cojuangco connections and lobby for an important role in the Aquino administration. His enemies will try to marginalize him. 

Noynoy--transition, no. Revolution, yes. And no thanks to Arroyo

The palace just invited president-elect Benigno Noynoy Aquino to a palace meeting, seemingly to initiate a "smooth transition". The soon-to-be president politely declined. And it is expected.

The body language of Noynoy says it all--he does not want to inherit Malacanang from his former professor, no. And why would he desire that? Or why would anybody for that matter actually salivate the thought of getting the totem pole from Arroyo come June 30?

Who, in the world, would ever relish even the thought of inheriting the very symbol of bad government from a bad president?

What Noynoy is saying is simply, there is no transition, oh no. A transition means a continuation of the bad policies, of the corruption and immorality of the past, of nonsensical appointments and decisions made and of unflinching loyalty to illegitimacy.

Why would anybody want a continuity of all these? The Filipino People needs a break. The Nation needs a smooth interregnum from all these insanity that has profane the Filipino name for the past nine years.

Malacanang is pressuring Aquino to honor the appointments made by Arroyo, saying that all of these are legal and "above board". Olivar and the rest of Arroyo's gang simply don't get it.

There is nothing legal from all of their actions, seemingly because it came from the mind of an illegitimate president.

Noynoy and the rest of the People owe Arroyo nothing and deserves nothing of her, neither every shred nor semblance of her corrupt regime should ever demean and besmirch the good name the new administration is trying to build.

The overwhelming mandate given by the Filipino People to Noynoy Aquino shows that every one who voted for him shares his vision for the country---a nation united against grafters and thieves in barongs. That trust should be kept pure by Noynoy by keeping his promise alive.

Malacanang should face the truth, something which they declined and refused to do for over nine years---they are now a vanishing breed. Their illicit regime has now been put to death by the electorate. Thanks to democracy, the assassination of Arroyo has been without bloodshed. The horrifying species created by Arroyo's insidious mind are now becoming extinct.

Aquino has a mandate and that mandate requires a new beginning, and in no means, a transition from the discredited regime.

The Spirit of EDSA lives as Inang Bayan: BAGO AKO

During these tumultuous nine years of Mrs. Arroyo's time, her mafia tried to slay the Spirit of EDSA. It has long been dead, says Arroyo, this "spirit" (some even called it "malevolent" like the Marcoses) killed by its own people. When the Oakwood mutiny and the Marines' standoff fizzled out, many people believed that EDSA, as a proposition, is dead. Not many people went to Ayala to support the numerous impeachment attempts. 


Mrs. Arroyo and her factotums do not really know what they're saying. 


Is the Spirit of EDSA, really, dead? 


What died is not the Spirit, oh, no. The Spirit, which emanation we saw in 1986, still lives in all of us because, quite frankly, it has been lurking around for centuries. It was never an invention of Cory Aquino and the Yellow shirts. No. It was not even a creation of the COPA, as what Boy Saycon claims. No. Nor was it a creation of the Ramos' boys. Oh, no. 

The SPIRIT of EDSA existed from the very first time our forebears met in that small shack in Tondo Manila. That very first meeting of the Katipuneros led by Andres Bonifacio was the initial creative moment of the Spirit. Some say the Spirit consisted of three things: the military, the People and the Church. I dare say no.


The spirit is the collective consciousness of a people enslaved and harmed by injustices. 


The Spirit of EDSA is an indigenous concept, a concept which sprang forth from the rich, loam soil of these lands. It rose from the very loins of the Filipino People, a rich collective consciousness of struggle for the good life. 


It was never really a political weapon. It was never really a threat against any dispensation. It was never a toy by this and that group. 

Every soul shares this Spirit. Every soul has a part in this consciousness. Whenever we encounter difficulties, we tap in this Spirit. 


When Typhoons hit this country, the Spirit awakens in each and every one of us. When we see beggars in the streets, the spirit urges us to make a small donation. Whenever we see families hungry, the Spirit asks us to partake our food with them. Whenever we see a house burning, the Spirit nudges our souls to help our fellow brothers and sisters. Whenever we see an injured Filipino in the streets or a Filipino victimized by petty thieves, this same Spirit demands from us our duty to help.


The Spirit also of EDSA asks us to follow traffic rules, to obey the laws, pay our taxes, demand receipts whenever we buy something, respect our parents, and all of the things Alex Lacson wrote in his small orange book, " 12 Little Things Every Filipino Can do to Help our Country."

The Spirit demands for us to do our share in nation-building, however small or big it is. 


This same Spirit, the collective consciousness we all call "Inang Bayan" is calling us, every single Filipino, whatever you may be at this time, to go back and help re-build our country.


Noynoy Aquino won this elections because he tapped into this consciousness. He wants us to join forces with him and create a graft-free environment. And he is right.


EDSA is not about power struggles, nor an adventurist's foray into coup d'etats. EDSA is not coup d'etat nor a revolt. No. There is simply nothing political about EDSA. 


It is about transforming oneself and using one's energies for the benefit of the many. It is about being BAGO (New) and NAGBABAGO (an agent or catalyst for change). It is all about embracing the principles of BAGO AKO, an active affirmation of being a Bagong Tao who thinks of his fellow Filipinos' welfare first before himself. 


Bago ako, bayan muna. Bago ako, ikaw muna. Bago ako, bayan naman. 


From Self to Un-Self. From individual, to collective. From One, to Many. 


How then can we institutionalize this Spirit and make it a part of governance?


Noynoy Aquino should make it his theme---this administration should not be called the Second Aquino administration, no. Let it be called " The People Power" government. 


A government that is of the people, by the People and for the People. 


Noynoy Aquino should make it a point to involve every single Filipino, to engage every single Filipino and make every single one realize that we are all in this together. 


That Aquino is just our shepherd, that he is just a guide, a General, if you will, who leads the charge for a better life. Let his government be one who listens. Let his government realize that its success or failure lies not on Noynoy but on how it engages the people to do their share in nation-building. 


Let the incoming government be measured on how it actively pursues or engages the people and how it then, gives the gains of that engagement back to the People. Let government define what the People want and need and let it be truly responsive of its cries. That is transformative governance which this administration should be measured. 

The De Quiros' Call and Our Thirst for True EDSA re-awakening: Noynoy Aquino should pursue Transformative Governance

Conrado de Quiros is like a man alone in the desert crying,

The Noynoy campaign began not with the Liberal Party, the Hyatt 10 and the Firm but with the volunteer groups. It succeeded not because of the Liberal Party, the Hyatt 10 and the Firm but because of the volunteer groups. Noynoy’s government should begin not with the Liberal Party, the Hyatt 10 and the Firm but with the volunteer groups. It should succeed not because of the Liberal Party, the Hyatt 10 and the Firm but because of the volunteer groups.


Or so if there is justice in this world. Or in this government. (http://opinion.inquirer.net/inquireropinion/columns/view/20100518-270618/Quite-another-story)

De Quiros is definitely right, but who among the prophets of old succeeded in convincing his own people of the propriety and the righteousness of his call? None. Fact is, death follows those who spoke about the right things.

And Noynoy Aquino should listen. His silence these past few days is deafening. Is he being isolated and insulated by these scums who now salivate for the billions they'll be getting as soon as Noynoy reclaims his mother's throne? Is Noynoy now being turned into another Arroyo, who started as a promising proposition only to become an over-achieving monster after nine years?

Noynoy Aquino's victory is definitely not because of the Hyatt 10, nor the Kamaganak Incorporated or less, the Firm. The 15 million or so people who trooped to the polls, despite the heat and the long lines, were there because they want to do their duty to their country--they believed in the promise of pagbabago by the elites. They believed that the elites mean it this time. They believed that the elites saw the signs of an impending catastrophe. The People believed that the elites just woke up one fine morning, saw the rising smoke over the horizon and decided to get their acts together.

Noynoy Aquino represents the elite generation. Nonoy Aquino represents the one True Hope of the people--that all of these sacrifices during the nine turbulent years will end with a stirring note. It is very hard for all of us to grit our teeth and clench our fists for these nine years. Voting for Noynoy means voting for change, change that will benefit the majority, not the few.

The People gave the Aquinos another chance to redeem their legacy. Noynoy will be heading the Second Aquino administration. This should not be a restoration  of the old order; rather it should be a transformation of the old order. (not this statement made by Liberal party spokesperson Cong. Lorenzo Tanada III implying that Aquino is poised to appoint members of the old Arroyo order: "Liberal Party spokesperson, Quezon Rep. Lorenzo Tañada III, said Aquino may retain some members of the Arroyo Cabinet although this would depend on what the search committee decides.")

The Second Aquino administration should be a transformative government, one that would buckle all odds, fight those who stole monies from the public coffers, put them behind bars and push for pro-people legislation. The People expected that from the First Aquino administration, but they never got it because the First Aquino administration was prostituted by the Old Boy's Club--the elites of the militarist and the worst kind.

This Second Aquino administration has the chance this time to prove that it is neither being manipulated by Big Business nor of traditional politics.

This early, a US-based risk consultancy shows a pessimistic view of Noynoy's administration. Pacific Strategies and Assessment (PSA) says that the change people are clamoring for, would probably not be realized under the 2nd Aquino administration due to overwhelming pressure from interest groups.

“Politically, there is simply no basis for celebration or indication that the 2010 election will produce the shifts in governance that the country so desperately requires...

“Without question, Noynoy (Aquino’s nickname) will face the realities of Philippine power interests and indestructible corruption that will limit his ability to impact change...

“No Philippine president has really tried, much less succeeded, at making any serious inroads into the culture of corruption and most justifiably doubt Noynoy is cut from a much different cloth.”

PSA also based its assessment on the composition of the incoming Senate which elected traditional politicos and none of the promising Senatoriables. The PSA report actually reflect the popular sentiment about the election of non-performing assets in the Upper House.

"PSA said traditional politicians and political butterflies, including actors turned politicians, dominate the incoming Senate, many of whose members “are just a roll call of returning politicians.”

Iloilo Archbishop Lagdameo proposes that for Aquino to avoid the mistakes of the past, he should appoint members of the Cabinet who shares his vision.

How then, will the 2nd Aquino administration behave or act to the best interest of the Filipino People? How then will Aquino avoid the pitfalls of the previous administrations?

First, Aquino must issue an Executive Order (EO) creating a Council of Advisers. These Council will be composed of members of the academe, civil society and former presidents. Their tasks will just be two-fold: first,a review of the Constitution and the laws and second, a recommendatory body for the Chief Executive. The Council is a great proposition because it will stabilize the political situation and allow the Chief Executive a wider perspective of Philippine reality. (The Bodel Model should be adopted by the new President)

Second, Aquino must concentrate on appointing career government officials to sensitive government posts. Career government officials know the terrain more than political appointees. Second, this will drive the campaign for professionalization of the ranks and increase morale. Career officials without graft cases filed against them and who shares the EDSA vision, and transformative governance, should be at the forefront of the bureaucracy.

Those positions of trust, like the Defense portfolio, the Education department, the DSWD, the DILG, DOTC and the DOH should be occupied by new faces. (By the way, I agree with Ted Failon that Aquino appoints Atty. Pers Acosta to the DOJ post)

Third, Aquino must rectify the contentious succession issue in the Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP). Bangit's appointment created deeper fissures in the military organization. It is best for Aquino to accept Bangit's resignation letter, appoint a more senior member of the organization as Chief of Staff and then, after the term of the New C-S expires, let Bangit succeed him.

Fourth, let Aquino retain PNP Chief Verzosa to his post since there was no issue against him in the police organization. However, Aquino must persuade Verzosa to try and put to jail those responsible for the Russian international scandal which smeared the international image of the Philippines.

And fifth, Aquino must immediately convene an independent commission which will try Arroyo and her mafia for the alleged crimes they committed against the people. This is one campaign promise that Aquino should not forget.

Drilon is next Senate President: will be creating History as 3 time Senate President

Jose Camano contests my earlier posts regarding Noynoy as "majority" president. In politics, when we say "majority", we simply means fifty percent plus one. That's "majority". Not to be entirely technical about it, when I say "majority", I simply mean nearly majority. And getting 40 plus percent for me, is "majority" simply because he got most of the votes than his rivals.

Noynoy Aquino's numbers is even better than Erap's 37% last 1998. And he was considered elected through a "majority". So there, enough of Mr. Camano. Maybe he's desirous to get a majority decision from the Supreme Court to reverse an earlier decision dismissing him from the bar.

Anyway, early indications point that the Liberal party, the party with the winning standard bearer, stands to lose in both Houses of Congress. Only four Liberals will make it in the Senate---former Senate president Frank Drilon (the comebacking big man sa senado), Ralph Recto, Teofisto Guingona and/or Risa Hontiveros and Serge Osmena. Hontiveros is in 14th place, a tad higher than Joey de Venecia's. A miracle is needed for Hontiveros to be included in the final Senate slate.

Look at the list of new Senators: based on PPCRV results as of 5:15 am, May 13, 2010:

1. Bong Revilla, Ramon Jr. - 17,303,512 (Lakas-KAMPI)---close Arroyo ally
2. Estrada, Jinggoy - 16,923,007 (PMP/UNO)---oppositionist
3. Defensor Santiago, Miriam - 15,473,883 (NP/PRP)---close Arroyo ally
4. Drilon, Franklin - 14,179,561 (LP)---Aquino block of the LP
5. Enrile, Juan Ponce - 13,992,593 (PMP/UNO)--oppositionist
6. Cayetano, Pilar Juliana - 12,245,640 (NP)--close Villar clone, err, ally
7. Marcos, Ferdinand Jr. - 11,785,333 (NP/KBL)---oppositionist
8. Recto, Ralph - 11,074,245 (LP)---former close Arroyo ally but closer still to Villar
9. Sotto, Vicente III - 10,620,224 (NPC/NP)--former close Arroyo ally
10. Osmena, Sergio - 10,409,943 (LP)---oppositionist; open-minded; independent
11. Lapid, Manuel - 9,760,497 (LAKAS-KAMPI)---votes based on orders
12. Guingona, Teofisto III - 9,212,023 (LP)--former NP and could shift to NP later
13. Hontiveros-Baraquel, Ana Theresia - 8,185,058 (LP)---oppositionist
14. Biazon, Rozzano Rufino - 7,723,857 (LP)---independent-minded

15. De Venecia, Jose III - 7,456,531(PMP-UNO)---independent-minded/oppositionist

Is it possible for the 13th, 14th and even the 15th slots to become members of the Senate? I think yes. Consider.

There are only ten (10) remaining Senators today, to wit: Angara, Arroyo, Aquino, Escudero, Honasan, Lacson, Legarda,  Pangilinan, Trillianes and Villar. One slot remained vacant.

Now, Aquino has to resign from his post if he is proclaimed as the 15th president of the Republic of the Philippines. If Aquino resigns, then, there is another vacancy. So, that vacancy could be either Hontiveros or Biazon or whoever gets the 13th slot.

Now, on the one (1) vacant slot which was unfilled since 2007. Will the Senate or the Supreme Court resolve this by allowing the 14th slot to be filled up this coming elections? Possibly. If not, then, we will still have 23 senators serving in the 15th Congress.

Let's look at the new composition of the 15th Congress: is there truth to the rumour that Villar will get the Senate presidency? Consider this.

1. ANGARA, EDGARDO (2013)=Laban/close Villar ally
2. ARROYO, JOKER (2013)=independent but votes in admin block/Villar ally
3. CAYETANO, ALAN PETER (2013)=NP, Villar ally
4. CAYETANO, PIA (2016)=NP, Villar ally
5. ESCUDERO, FRANCIS (2013)=NPC, independent
6. ESTRADA, JINGGOY (2016)=PMP-UNO, anti-Villar: formerly Villar
7. ENRILE, JUAN PONCE (2016)=PMP-UNO, anti-Villar
8. HONASAN, GREGORIO (2013)=PMP-UNOanti-Villar
9. LACSON, PANFILO (2013)=independent/ anti-Villar
10. LAPID, LITO (2016)=LAKAS/KAMPImight vote in favor of Villar
11. LEGARDA, LOREN (2013)=NP/NPC might vote in favor of Villar
12. PANGILINAN, FRANCIS (2013)=LP anti-Villar
13. REVILLA, BONG (2016)= LAKAS/KAMPI might vote in favor of Villar
14. TRILLIANES IV, ANTONIO (2013)=independent but might vote against Villar
15. VILLAR, MANUEL (2013)--NP
16. MARCOS, BONGBONG (new)=NP/KBL pro-Villar
17. RECTO, RALPH (new)=LP formerly Wednesday club member with Villar but might vote against
18. DRILON, FRANKLIN=LP anti-Villar
19. OSMENA, SERGE=LP anti-Villar/independent
20. DEFENSOR-SANTIAGO, MIRIAM=PRP/NP/anti-Villar (or might change mind)
21. SOTTO, VICENTE= PRP/NP pro-Villar
22. GUINGONA, TEOFISTO=LP anti-Villar
23. ? HONTIVEROS OR BIAZON=LP anti-Villar

24. VACANT

There will be six (6) Liberal party members in the new Senate, and seven (7) NP members, and two (2) Lakas-KAMPI members. PMP-UNO members will actually be three (3) Senators and the rest are "independents' or belong to "minority parties".

It seems that Villar will not get it because he only has ten (10) confirmed pro-Villar colleagues and the rest are simply anti-Villar. It will not be in the best interest of Villar if either Hontiveros or Biazon comes in since these candidates are obviously against him, especially Hontiveros who filed a graft case against him.

Now, who will be the next Senate president? If all indications are right, the next Senate president should be FRANKLIN DRILON, a very close ally of the soon to be elected President Benigno "Noynoy" Aquino III.

If Drilon successfully gets elected as Senate president, that will surely be very interesting because it will split the Congress into two (2) very powerful blocks: a Lower House dominated by Lakas-KAMPI/NP coalition members and a Upper House (Senate) dominated by Aquino allies.

A Drilon Senate presidency will prevent the sudden shift of the political/governing system from presidential to parliamentary. Drilon will be Aquino's strongest defender in the Senate. This will prevent the possible plan to dilute or make a diminution of the Office of the Presdient with the shift to parliamentary system.

Or, if a compromise is struck between and among contending elite groups, we will have a parliamentary federal system with a strong President and a ceremonial (?) Prime Minister like in Russia.

With the election of Aquino, and the possible election to the Senate presidency of Drilon, charter change, as envisioned by pro-Arroyo mafia allies will actually be frustrated.

Political stability in the Philippines: Post 2010 elections

Political stability is one of the things investors are looking for in the Philippines. With the impending victory of Liberal party standard bearer Noynoy Aquino, this is almost certain. However, this is the thing--Noynoy is surely facing rough waters because Mrs. Arroyo is now very certain to clinch the congressional post in Pampanga.

Aquino's campaign promise is simple--create an independent commission to prosecute Mrs. Arroyo. Will Aquino still do this? Will he be able to dismantle the huge mafia that Mrs. Arroyo created and has now become the biggest syndicate in the country?

Most of Arroyo's minions are still occupying sensitive posts in the bureaucracy with constitutionally mandated tenures. Net--Aquino will be hard pressed doing this.

Those who want change should focus now on determining how many Lakas and Kampi members won in their Congressional districts. A Congress dominated by Arroyo's henchmen will surely neutralize whatever gains Mr. Aquino will accomplish in the Executive front.

Mr. Aquino should have a very solid and strong support from the Lower and Upper Houses, to deter Arroyo from becoming Speaker and eventually Prime Minister, if cha-cha succeeds.

Likewise, the specter of Charter change looms in the horizon. Remember that there is now a law which mandates the election of concon members by October of this year. October, by the way, is the barangay elections.

Aquino can still effectively neutralize Arroyo by filling the Constitutional Convention with his allies and try to dominate the barangay system with his grassroots allies.

Likewise, if Roxas fails to get the vice presidential post, then, Binay will be Aquino's "thorn" since Binay is expected to gun for a higher post after six years.

What should be the major focus now is how the Liberals performed in the Congressional race. The Liberal Party should be the dominant political party. Otherwise, the next six years will again be a destabilized one.

What now, Manny Villar and Prof. Prospero De Vera?

Professor Prospero De Vera of the University of the Philippines, a self-proclaimed "political analyst" and issues adviser of Nacionalista standard bearer Manny Villar has just shot himself in the mouth. Now I know why Villar stands to lose this elections--he has in his campaign team someone who claims to know the dynamics of Philippine politics yet debased himself by claiming that the Iglesia Ni Cristo (INC) is slated to support the candidacy of his boss.

De Vera even lied before Ted Failon and Tina Monsod-Palma that he knows something these distinguished journalists do not know. Speaking before the Filipino public, De Vera claims to know the "inner workings" of the INC leadership, even stating that he reportedly saw three surveys conducted by the INC which puts his boss on top of the heap. The professor was extremely confident that his boss has the INC endorsement  "in the bag" already.Pooh.

What De Vera does not know, and being an issues adviser and a "political analyst" HE SHOULD KNOW---the INC leadership hates premature announcements. If De Vera is really worth his salt, he should not have lied and claimed that he knows who the INC will endorse. Obviously, De Vera does not know what he was talking about and was even clueless on INC decision-making. When De Vera agreed to those interviews, he did not know that he was being trapped. :-)

Today, the INC finished De Vera off--they publicly announced support to the rival of his boss, Liberal party standard bearer Noynoy Aquino and his tandem, Mar Roxas. If I'm De Vera, I'll do an Ostrich and bury my head under the sand.

Villar just wasted thousands of pesos paying a supposed "issues adviser" who simply does not know anything about Philippine politics and its dynamics.

(To those who trust De Vera's advices--be forewarned. You could be next to lose your shirt and this election. :0)

Villar should fire both his issues adviser and his media handlers simply for ineffectiveness and utter stupidity.

Now, De Vera and Villar's publicists have all put their boss in a very tight situation. Villar is now in the quandary. He is now on the verge of losing his businesses, what with this impending poll defeat.

Look at Villar's bleak future...

Risa Hontiveros has just filed a graft case against Manny Villar before the Ombusman. This case will definitely be pursued by the new Aquino administration for sure. Villar faces a very bleak and black future once the Liberals win. Maybe, Villar will even be the first one prosecuted for plunder and graft and corruption.

The only thing that will save Villar is simply accept defeat and support Aquino. Maybe he can hammer out a deal. Yet, knowing Aquino and the Liberals, they will surely and simply reject any overtures from the Villar camp.

Because of this elections, Villar earned the ire of big-time enemies and that includes not just the Aquinos but the Estradas and several others.

Villar should now implement his exit strategy, but one advice--don't ask De Vera what to do next. He might simply ask you to release fraudulent and fake documents to save face.

Villar should simply do what the former Thai Prime Minister did--go on exile. Or, maybe accompany Arroyo in her and her husband's cozy chalet in Portugal.